Effective multi-step ahead container throughput forecasting under the complex context

Accurate and effective container throughput forecasting plays an essential role in economic dispatch and port operations, especially in the complex and uncertain context of the global Covid-19 pandemic. In light of this, this research proposes an effective multi-step ahead forecasting model called EWT-TCN-KMSE. Specifically, we initially use the empirical wavelet transform (EWT) to decompose the original container throughput series into multiple components with varying frequencies. Subsequently, the state-of-the-art temporal convolutional network is utilized to predict the decomposed components individually, during which an improved loss function that combines mean square error (MSE) and kernel trick is employed. Eventually, the deduced prediction results can be obtained by integrating the predicted values of each component. In particular, this research introduces the MIMO (multi-input and multi-output) strategy to conduct multi-step ahead container throughput forecasting. Based on the experiments in Shanghai port and Ningbo-Zhoushan port, it can be found that the proposed model shows its superiority over benchmark models in terms of accuracy, stability, and significance in container throughput forecasting. Therefore, our proposed model can assist port operators in their daily management and decision making. © 2023 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

A Novel Framework to Forecast COVID-19 Incidence Based on Google Trends Search Data

The global outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread to more than 200 countries worldwide, leading to severe health and socioeconomic consequences. As such, the topic of monitoring and predicting epidemics has been attracting a lot of interest. Previous work reported search volumes from Google Trends are beneficial in decoding influenza dynamics, implying its potential for COVID-19 prediction. Therefore, a predictive model using the Wiener methods was built based on epidemic-related search queries from Google Trends, along with climate variables, aiming to forecast the dynamics of the weekly COVID-19 incidence in Washington, DC, USA. The Wiener model, which shares the merits of interpretability, low computation costs, and adaptation to nonlinear fluctuations, was used in this study. Models with multiple sets of features were constructed and further optimized by the highest weight selecting strategy. Furthermore, comparisons to the other two commonly used prediction models based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and long short-term memory (LSTM) were also performed. Our results showed the predicted COVID-19 trends significantly correlated with the actual (rho <inline-formula> <tex-math notation="LaTeX">$=$</tex-math> </inline-formula> 0.88, <inline-formula> <tex-math notation="LaTeX">$p $</tex-math> </inline-formula> <inline-formula> <tex-math notation="LaTeX">$<$</tex-math> </inline-formula> 0.0001), outperforming those with ARIMA and LSTM approaches, indicating Google Trends data as a useful tool in terms of COVID-19 prediction. Also, the model using 20 search queries with the highest weighting outperformed all other models, supporting the highest weight feature selection as a feasible criterion. Google Trends search query data can be used to forecast the outbreak of COVID-19, which might assist health policymakers to allocate health care resources and taking preventive strategies. IEEE

Lung disease detection using Self-Attention Generative Adversarial Capsule network optimized with sun flower Optimization Algorithm

Lung cancer is the uncontrolled growth of abnormal cells in one or both lungs. This is one of the dangerous diseases. A lot of feature extraction with classification methods were discussed previously regarding this disease, but none of the methods give sufficient results, not only that, those methods have high over fitting problem, as a result, the detection accuracy was minimizing. Therefore, to overcome these issues, a Lung Disease Detection using Self-Attention Generative Adversarial Capsule Network optimized with Sun flower Optimization Algorithm (SA-Caps GAN-SFOA-LDC) is proposed in this manuscript. Initially, NIH chest X-ray image dataset is gathered through Kaggle repository to diagnose the lung disease. Then, the chests X-ray images are pre-processed by using the contrast limited adaptive histogram equalization (CLAHE) filtering method to eliminate the noise and to enhance the image quality. These pre-processed outputs are fed to feature extraction process. In the feature extraction process, the empirical wavelet transform method is used. These extracted features are given into Self-Attention based Generative Adversarial Capsule classifier for detecting the lung disease. The hyper parameters of SA-Caps GAN classifier is optimized using Sun flower Optimization Algorithm. The simulation is implemented in MATLAB. The proposed SA-Caps GAN-SFOA-LDC method attains higher accuracy 21.05%, 33.28%, 30.27%, 29.68%, 32.57% and 44.28%, Higher Precision 30.24%, 35.68%, 32.08%, 41.27%, 28.57% and 34.20%, Higher F-Score 32.05%, 31.05%, 36.24%, 30.27%, 37.59% and 22.05% analyzed with the existing methods, SVM-SMO-LDC, CNN-MOSHO-LDC, XGboost-PSO-LDC respectively. © 2022 Elsevier Ltd

Detection of COVID-19 using Wavelet Transform, Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models

Since December 2019, the world is fighting against the newly found virus named COVID-19 whose symptoms are closer to pneumonia. Being highly contagious, it has spread all over the world, and hence the World Health Organization has declared this as a global pandemic. Some patients infected with this virus have severe symptoms which are fatal. Hence the early discovery of COVID-19 infected patients is necessary to avoid further community spread. The available tests such as RTPCR and Rapid Antigen Tests are not 100% accurate and do not give quick results either. Therefore, it is the need of the hour to explore identification methodologies that are quick, accurate, and easily scalable. This work intends to do so using different machine learning and deep learning models. First, the step involves feature extraction using Gray Level Co-occurrence Matrix (GLCM) and classification with LightGBM classifier which gives an accuracy of 92.78%. This is then further improved to 95.79% using wavelets. Further, the CNN architectures with max-pooling and DWT layers are compared and it's found that CNN architecture with max-pooling layer gives better accuracy of 95.72%. Thus, this work presents a comparative analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms and CNN architectures for better accuracy and time. © 2022 IEEE.

Combination of wavelet transform and LSTM to detect low functional respiration

Automatic and long-term monitoring of respiratory is in great demand for lung diseases. It gets required greater in these years due to COVID-19 pandemic to reduce medical staff fatigue for checking patient conditions frequently for long time. Kobayashi et al., in our team, developed a device measuring respiratory condition by quantizing the displacement between the 6th and 8th ribs. We introduce long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network to classify patient respiratory signals into the two states of normal and low-functional respirations. The signals were checked by a medical doctor manually for classified into the two states. In the process, they were transformed to frequency-domain spectra with complex-valued wavelet transform, and then quantized the respiratory wavelet spectra due to the large number of spectra patterns. After that, the LSTM learned and classified the processed respiratory signals. The experimental results showed the feasibility to detect the two states. © 2021, Japan Soc. of Med. Electronics and Biol. Engineering. All rights reserved.

Analysis of the Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of COVID-19 in Massachusetts Via Spectral Graph Wavelet Theory

The rapid spread of COVID-19 disease has had a significant impact on the world. In this paper, we study COVID-19 data interpretation and visualization using open-data sources for 351 cities and towns in Massachusetts from December 6, 2020 to September 25, 2021. Because cities are embedded in rather complex transportation networks, we construct the spatio-temporal dynamic graph model, in which the graph attention neural network is utilized as a deep learning method to learn the pandemic transition probability among major cities in Massachusetts. Using the spectral graph wavelet transform (SGWT), we process the COVID-19 data on the dynamic graph, which enables us to design effective tools to analyze and detect spatio-temporal patterns in the pandemic spreading. We design a new node classification method, which effectively identifies the anomaly cities based on spectral graph wavelet coefficients. It can assist administrations or public health organizations in monitoring the spread of the pandemic and developing preventive measures. Unlike most work focusing on the evolution of confirmed cases over time, we focus on the spatio-temporal patterns of pandemic evolution among cities. Through the data analysis and visualization, a better understanding of the epidemiological development at the city level is obtained and can be helpful with city-specific surveillance. IEEE